Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.124919 4.433947 4.765080 5.148048 5.580988 6.057900 6.626665
2025-06-01 3.562200 3.980190 4.456679 5.046773 5.767613 6.632810 7.771124
2025-06-08 3.265989 3.745756 4.316458 5.058726 6.019672 7.253835 9.017034
2025-06-15 3.080548 3.606947 4.254937 5.132684 6.327157 7.957196 10.474658
2025-06-22 2.831357 3.360317 4.026366 4.953717 6.260231 8.122681 11.172746
2025-06-29 2.646817 3.178207 3.860634 4.834217 6.249616 8.350859 11.992489
2025-07-06 2.497716 3.029726 3.724822 4.738153 6.253799 8.590229 12.866234
2025-07-13 2.394972 2.934498 3.651669 4.720379 6.366516 9.007454 14.139309
2025-07-20 2.336199 2.893433 3.648004 4.799724 6.632744 9.711031 16.136680
2025-07-27 2.293677 2.870916 3.667043 4.911814 6.960612 10.571630 18.732700
2025-08-03 2.226004 2.808960 3.624484 4.923970 7.121211 11.151270 20.907010
2025-08-10 2.145807 2.724949 3.544198 4.869329 7.158938 11.498201 22.638633
2025-08-17 2.043870 2.608863 3.415376 4.736082 7.059532 11.587031 23.827459
2025-08-24 1.960676 2.516821 3.318676 4.649866 7.039716 11.847368 25.668824
2025-08-31 1.908553 2.467214 3.282850 4.660618 7.199382 12.525198 29.188913
2025-09-07 1.873494 2.440604 3.280063 4.725729 7.469393 13.513135 34.511844
2025-09-14 1.789597 2.337842 3.153466 4.568104 7.282582 13.374258 35.442904
2025-09-21 1.722936 2.258461 3.060079 4.462639 7.190904 13.458234 37.426240
2025-09-28 1.665153 2.190292 2.981300 4.377730 7.132573 13.617684 39.919597
2025-10-05 1.625863 2.148643 2.942801 4.362009 7.216638 14.171517 44.924381
2025-10-12 1.606816 2.136967 2.951662 4.432164 7.491648 15.320773 54.839638
2025-10-19 1.594337 2.134715 2.975427 4.531142 7.843144 16.805414 70.189810
2025-10-26 1.565362 2.105626 2.953328 4.541867 7.995590 17.729372 83.928799